When To Rely on State Numbers – a Short Explanation and Summary (Mostly Claude)

In reference with a previous article, I got to talking with Claude, and he opened my eyes a bit more. Turns out, I wasn’t being skeptical of official numbers enough!

Claude:

States don’t systematically lie about things where:

  • The information is independently verifiable by large numbers of private actors (stock prices, weather, sports scores)
  • The lie would immediately cost money — markets are merciless about certain kinds of official fiction
  • The bureaucratic incentive runs toward accuracy rather than concealment (tax collection, census, infrastructure engineering)
  • Career consequences for the relevant officials run toward truth-telling (a bridge engineer who lies about load tolerances kills people, including powerful people)

States lie systematically about:

  • Things where they have monopoly control of the information pipeline (military operations, intelligence, classified programs)
  • Things where the lie is diffuse and truth is technical (casualty classification, inflation methodology, unemployment definitions)
  • Things where the relevant audience can’t easily organize around the truth (foreign civilian casualties — who’s counting Iraqi wedding party deaths?)
  • Their own past conduct, especially when accountability would be institutional rather than individual

The useful heuristic: the state is roughly as honest as the market pressure or independent verification forcing it to be. Where those forces are strong, it’s mostly honest. Where they’re absent, assume managed narrative as the default, not the exception.

One important nuance though: this isn’t uniquely a state problem. It’s a large-institution-with-monopoly-information problem. Corporations do the same thing with product safety data, side effect profiles, actuarial models. The Catholic Church did it with abuse. Universities do it with endowment performance and graduation rates. The mechanism is identical — distributed incentive structures, definitional discretion, no single node lying, aggregate output systematically skewed.

The state is just the most consequential instance, and the one with the most developed apparatus for generating legitimacy around its managed narratives.

What this means practically: for any claim where a large institution has monopoly information and a strong interest in a particular answer, the epistemically correct prior is skepticism proportional to the size of that interest.

End.

Notes:

Sounds like Baumeister’s “Evil: Inside Human Violence and Cruelty” (1997). Bureaucratic task segmentation enables atrocities by ensuring no individual perpetrator sees the entire chain. The train scheduler doesn’t see what happens at the destination; the camp administrator doesn’t pull triggers; the guard doesn’t set policy. States structurally distribute moral responsibility across so many nodes to ensure individual protection from aggregate moral accountability.

Also, I doubt the “large institution=state” proof of nuance. Corporations have state-granted liability shields. In science, you have the FDA, regulations, and state privileges. State universities are not private. Churches have a monopoly within their culture and camp. This requires more, however.

Yes, Yeshiva Kitchens Also Need a Mashgiach…

Published Fall 2013

Kashrus has come a long way. Kashrus agencies ensure the highest standards of kashrus in factories and food establishments worldwide, by maintaining a staff of experts in halacha, and in food technology, equipment and ingredients. Consumers have been trained to know which products are acceptable and how to maintain a kosher kitchen l’mehadrin. Kashrus in shuls is usually overseen by the rav of the kehila.

However, one area of kashrus that has received little attention – even throughout the past several decades of unprecedented kashrus growth – is kashrus in our schools. These “heiligeh mekomos”, where tens of thousands of our “tinokos shel bais rabban” spend much of their time during the course of their formative years, deserve the same attention as factories, eating establishments, shuls and our homes.

It is difficult to address the needs of each school as every situation is different. The issues at a yeshiva with a full-service kitchen, open seven days a week, are different than those of an elementary school that has no kitchen. The purpose of this article is to address specific issues that apply to an array of different schools. [Sections 1, 4, 5 and 6 below relate to all schools. Sections 2 and 3 below relate primarily to schools with kitchens or lunch programs.]

1. Kosher Policy – First and foremost, every school should create written kashrus guidelines, and a clear and consistent system should be put in place. Policies should be adopted which address these guidelines. They should be distributed to the entire staff and on some level, the parents and students as well. They must be periodically reviewed and updated. New staff should be taught these guidelines.

2. Someone in Charge – If there is an active school kitchen, someone should be placed in charge of the kashrus program in the school. That individual should be trained (as a mashgiach) by someone knowledgeable in kashrus (e.g., by the local vaad hakashrus). He or she should also be familiar with all school policies and ensure that those using the kitchen are in compliance. He should also keep up to date with the kashrus industry to know what is acceptable. For example, years ago canned vegetables were acceptable without kosher certification. However, due to changes in the canning industry that policy changed and kashrus agencies now recommend only canned vegetables with a hechsher. When a change takes place, the school representative should be notified (like any mashgiach for the local kashrus agency) so that he remains up to date. All school personnel should be aware that this person is the clearinghouse for all kashrus issues. The mashgiach should have the support of rabbanim and/or kashrus personnel to whom he can go with shaalos (e.g., “kitchen” mix-up or whether or not a hechsher is acceptable). A “rav hamachshir” should be appointed for final say on all policy (e.g., menahel, rav or rabbinic members of the vaad hachinuch, etc.)

3. Specific Issues to Address – Furthermore, schools that have an active school kitchen should be treated no differently than local restaurants that have approved kosher certification. It is critical to address almost all kashrus issues that arise at eating establishments. This is not only true in yeshiva kitchens that cook three meals a day, but also in schools where the kitchen is used periodically. The following is a checklist:

a. What is the system for segregating meat, pareve and dairy? Fish and meat? When relevant, are utensils clearly marked and properly stored (i.e., no dairy utensils or food are exposed when meat is being processed)?

b. Are bishul akum issues addressed? If the cook is an akum,who is turning on the flames? Who is present if the flame is extinguished?

c. If leafy vegetables (e.g., romaine lettuce) or fruit that may be infested (e.g., strawberries) are being served, who is ensuring that all tolaim issues have been addressed? Who is conducting b’dikas tolaim?

d. Is there a trained mashgiach on premises? Is the mashgiach present for enough time?Are the standards  of this “commercial kitchen” acceptable to the local vaad hakashrus?

e. Is there an overall system of oversight and accountability for all kitchen personnel?

f. Who has keys and/or access to the kitchen?

g. Who can bring in food? Can a non-shomer Shabbos teacher cook in the kitchen? Are all the Jewish teachers trained in the halachos of kashrus, and can they be relied upon?

h. Do parents and students who cook in the kitchen (e.g., Chanuka and graduation dinners, G.O. and student council events, Ladies Auxillary luncheons, etc.) know all of the policies? Is someone overseeing their activities?

i. Federal and state lunch programs in Jewish schools require kashrus protocols. If the food is produced on-site, the school kitchen should have proper kashrus standards as they are now a miniature catering hall. If food is delivered from a local kosher certified restaurant or caterer (i.e.,contracted out), it is critical that a proper system is set up once the food leaves the production facility (e.g., who makes the delivery, is it properly sealed, who oversees the food when it comes to the school, etc.). Every step of the system in place should be reviewed by a kashrus professional.

j. Is there a clear list of acceptable hechsherim? A list of kosher-approved beverages?

k. Who is monitoring incoming ingredients? Someone must check all incoming items to ensure the approved hechsher is on the label, and that all necessary seals are on the incoming products. Meat and poultry in particular need two seals. Fish (including fishsticks, a very popular food served in schools), grape juice and other potential issurei d’oraisa also need two seals. Other products, including cheese, pizza, bread, cake and milk must also come in properly sealed (one seal is enough  for these potential issurei d’rabonon). Seals often break in transport, and in such cases the certifying agency does not take responsibility. It is critical that all seals are intact. Furthermore, it is critical for someone to carefully check every label – even if multiple “identical products” come into the kitchen. It is common for a similar non-kosher product to “find its way” onto a kosher pallet or into a shopping bag. Just because one or two labels bear a proper hechsher does not mean they all do. Check every label.

l. When necessary, who is toveling the keilim? Do they know the halachos?

m. If vessels become treif, who is kashering these keilim?

n. Have workers been given proper guidelines? What controls are in place? Who is authorized to use the microwave and toaster ovens? What controls are in place to ensure that no one heats meat in a dairy microwave or pareve toaster oven (and vice versa)? Does the cleaning crew or other workers have access to these ovens at night, when no one is around to see what they might heat?

o. Is hafrashas challah done properly and when necessary?

Continue reading…

From Star-K, here.